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Congrats to everyone in both top fives. x
Week 3 NFL Picks: Big Divisional Matchups Highlight Week 3
Sep 22 by Jason Brewer


Two weeks of the NFL season are in the books and in a lot of ways things are even more confusing. Pittsburgh isn't as bad they looked in week one, but then again Baltimore doesn't appear to be a good as they looked. About the only teams you can trust from a betting standpoint in this early part of the season have been the Patriots and Lions, but for this week's picks, that could change.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (+9) - The Bills are the highest scoring offense in the NFL after two weeks. The Pats are the second highest. So chances are this should be a high scoring affair, but I like the Bills at home to keep up with the Pats. I don't know that they can win this game, but I think they can keep it within 9. Pick: Bills

San Francisco 49ers at Cincinnati Bengals (-3) - Andy Dalton is off to a better than expected start in Cincy and the Bengals aren't as bad as everyone expected as a result. I think they absolutely can beat the Niners by more than a FG at home. Pick: Bengals

Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns (-1.5) - The Dolphins were so much better on the road than at home last year and actually so far their offense has looked pretty capable. I like them in an upset here. Pick: Dolphins

Denver Broncos at Tennessee Titans (-6.5) -This line surprised me a bit. I know the Broncos don't inspire confidence, but why would the Titans? Yes they got a nice win over Baltimore last week, but they were still beaten by the Jags in week one. That said, I do like the Titans in this game, but it might be one to steer clear of. Pick: Titans

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings (+3.5) -The only surprise is here is how the low the line is. The Lions are firing on all cylinders and the Vikings have blown two straight first half leads. Pick: Lions

Houston Texans at New Orleans Saints (-4) -I think the Texans might be getting too much respect here. They have played well, but I can't see them going into the Superdome and keeping this within a TD. Pick: Saints

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles - No line. It's all about whether Michael VIck can play. If so, the Eagles should be healthy favorites.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Carolina Panthers (- 3.5) - The Jags announced that Blaine Gabbert will get his first career start this weekend after the abomination of a performance Josh McCown put on last week against the Jets. Gabbert will face the only QB taken ahead of him in the draft this past year, Cam Newton. I think the Panthers win this easy. Pick: Panthers

New York Jets at Oakland Raiders (+3.5) - It should be interesting to see the Jets on the road this week after two home wins the start the year. It will tell us a lot about them. The Raiders are a scrappy team and probably better than a lot of people give them credit for, but I'm going to ride the Jets until they show me they should do otherwise. Pick: Jets

Baltimore Ravens at St Louis Rams (+4) - The Ravens had a big letdown last week on the road against the Titans, which probably explains why this line is low. The Rams have been killed by injuries, blown out the first two weeks of the season and just haven't been the team a lot of people expected them to be this season. They do have a brutal schedule to start the year and I think that continues this week. Pick Ravens

Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers (+14.5) - It's amazing how far the Chiefs have fallen. This team one the AFC West last year and now in week three they're more than two TDs underdogs. The Chargers haven't exactly turned in a vintage performance yet this season, but this could be their chance to really show off. Start every Charger on your fantasy team this week... Pick: Chargers

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears (+3.5) - The Bears have had a rough schedule to start the year with three straight 2010 playoff teams. They beat the Falcons soundly at home, but got beat convincingly on the road by the Saints. This week is another real test at home against the Packers, who actually didn't look great on the road against the Panthers last week and lost Nick Collins for the year. This is a tough game to pick, so I'm just going to play it safe. Pick: Packers

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (+3.5) - I actually love the Cardinals in this game. Seattle is a very tough place to play, but they've been terrible this year and Arizona has at least show that it can score points. Pick: Cardinals

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1.5) -The Falcons haven't been terribly impressive over the first two weeks and are better at home than on the road. The Bucs lost their first home game, but came back to win at Minnesota last week. Matt Ryan has been limited in practice after getting beat up on Sunday night... The Bucs have some things going for them here, but the historical trends actually favor the Falcons. Teams like the Falcons have actually won 56-60% of these games based on a few different models. Pick: Falcons

Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts (+9.5) - At this point, why wouldn't the Steelers cover this spread? They covered 15.5 last week and the Colts might even be worse than the Seahawks. Pick: Stillers

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys - No line. Without word yet on whether Tony Romo will play there's no line on this game.
I loved Tomlin in the after game interview, and after a 24-0 route of a defenseless Seahawk team.

He did not look happy, and neither am I...yet.
Quote by eviotis
I loved Tomlin in the after game interview, and after a 24-0 route of a defenseless Seahawk team.

He did not look happy, and neither am I...yet.


Hell I won't be happy until we meet Baltimore again on 06 November at the Steel House and throttle there asses and I hope we meet again in the playoffs at the Steel House and we throttle there asses again. Edit Note: What if the boys lose to the Patsy's the week before? I WANT TICKETS TO THE GAME AGAINST THE RATBIRDS!!!

Now if we hang Indy out to dry and put Collins back in the retirement home. I do believe the "slow n old" tag will be lifted

Now for my lock of the week: Well my lock of the week has hit a pot~hole. The shut out win my boys gave the Seahags last week put my record to .500. So this week I will have two locks of the week. My first lock is, I will not win only 4 games this week or for any week for the rest of the year. Second lock is New England -8.5 at Buffalo. I do believe this will be the most exciting game of the week and I do believe it will be the highest scoring game in NFL history. However, I don't see Tom "Buffy" Brady and the Patsy's covering the -8.5.
Really Hoping I have better Luck this week, than I have the past two weeks. Still Waiting for the Patriots to Kick the Cowboys asses, and SouthernJim weeping, as he becomes my personal Slave for the week (:
Quote by CountryGirl22
Really Hoping I have better Luck this week, than I have the past two weeks. Still Waiting for the Patriots to Kick the Cowboys asses, and SouthernJim weeping, as he becomes my personal Slave for the week (:


Yeah CG, I feel your pain

Good luck to you this week
Quote by tomlando
Quote by CountryGirl22
Really Hoping I have better Luck this week, than I have the past two weeks. Still Waiting for the Patriots to Kick the Cowboys asses, and SouthernJim weeping, as he becomes my personal Slave for the week (:


Yeah CG, I feel your pain

Good luck to you this week


Thanks my boys played well, but not well enough. Next week.
Wow, there is only one thing I think of when watching the Dolphins...



Sorry Tony, happy trails.
Hello wonderful people

What a week 3 of football we had this past weekend. My 'lock of the week' was right on, Buffalo not only covered the point spread they won over Tom "Buffy" Brady and the Patsies 34-31. That was a great game.

Detroit wins in Minnesota for the first time since 1900's and the Lions are 3-0 with Green Bay and Buffalo. WTF is going on in the NFL. My 'lock of the week' or year is there won't be a perfect season.

To finish, I will never ever pick my Pittsburgh Stillers to ever cover a double digit point spread again. As bad as Indy is without Peyton. The Colts took it to my Stillers to the end. Edit: I just noticed my Stillers are +3.5 at Houston in week four Indy is +10 at Tampa Please STOP!!!! Vegas before I wet my pants.

Ok now let's get to the weekly winners of the golden piggy and the fabulous flusher Week 3 winner in points is Jebru with a total of 72 points and the toilet mark was set by eviotis with 22 points.
For the best record of the week Jebru and CountryGirl both came away with 8 wins and the bottom of the weekly win total was 5 wins by SouthernJim, Red Dragon, eviotis and LadyX. Edit: LadyX came in late on Sunday and picked the last 9 games and had a winning record of 5-4.

The Top 5 Confidence Points for week 3
1. Jebru
2. MexicanGoddess
3. CountryGirl
4. LadyX
5. Lone Wolf

Top 5 Point Spread for week 3
1. Jebru
1. CountryGirl
2. MexicanGoddess
2. Lone Wolf
2. tomlando

Top 5 Confidence Points Season
1. MexicanGoddess
2. LadyX
3. Red Dragon
4. Jebru
5. SouthernJim

Top 5 Point Spread
1. MexicanGoddess
2. SouthernJim
2. CountryGirl
2. eviotis
3. Jebru
3. Lone Wolf
Oh no, I suck again.



Sorry guys and gals, mustuve been the bean dip.
this week kicked my ass but all is good cause the Cowboys beat the Redskins.....
NFL Picks Week 4: Can The Eagles And Patriots Bounce Back From Upsets?
Sep 30
by Jason Brewer

Last week was all about the big upsets. The Giants went into Philly got a big win, the Jets lost on the road to the Raiders and of course the Patriots were shocked by the Bills. I suppose this early in a very unorthodox year, these types of fluctuation in performance are to be expected. These teams had no offseason, shortened camps, there's record numbers of rookies on teams... So it stands to reason that they'd look good one week but struggle the next. However, after this week we will be one month into the season, so those excuses are burning up quick and it's time for the preseason contenders to start showing some consistency before they become regular season pretenders.

Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears (-6.5) - I like Bears a lot here. They've had a rough schedule to start the year and while Carolina has surprised some with the way they've played, they still only have one win. And while Cam Newton is off to a nice start, going on the road to play on that field in Chicago isn't going to be great for him. Pick: Bears

Buffalo Bills at Cincinnati Bengals (+3) - The Bills sport the highest scoring offense in the NFL right now, but could they be in for a letdown after their big win against the Patriots? That's the fear here. Because otherwise, you'd have to say that Buffalo is the better team. For that reason I like the Bills. Pick: Bills

Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns (-1) - The trends favor the Browns quite heavily here. Teams like them have won over 70% of one point spreads and similar spreads over the last 10 years. This is one of those games where it's hard to a get real gut feeling, so I'm going to trust the trends. Pick: Browns

Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys (-1) - Interestingly the similar games with the same spread model heavily favors the Cowboys here. Teams like them have covered better than 70% of the time. That said, you really have to like the matchups for Detroit. Their d-line against the Dallas o-line is a huge mismatch while Calvin Johnson against whoever the Cowboys can find to try and cover him is maybe even bigger. Pick: Lions

Minnesota Vikings at Kansas City Chiefs (+1.5) - Here are two teams that it's hard to trust with anything. The Vikings can't hold a lead and the Chiefs can't get one. Plus, the trends don't give us a lot of help either as the models are split about 50-50 as to who covers. I'll just go gut here and take the Vikes. Pick: Vikings

Washington Redskins at St. Louis Rams (+1.5) - The Rams have been a real mess this year but they are catching the Redskins in the second of back to back road games. I think this really comes down to a bad St Louis offense being really overmatched against a really good Redskins D. Pick: Redskins

San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles (-9) - The Eagles have owned the Niners in recent years both at home and on the road, but this line is high considering their terrible performance against the Giants. This will be the third straight year the two teams play and the Eagles will be starting their 3rd different QB. I think the Eagles offense gets back on track this week and the 49ers won't be able to keep up. Pick: Eagles

New Orleans Saints at Jacksonville Jaguars (+6.5) - We've got Blaine Gabbert in his second ever start against Drew Brees. Frankly, I think that the Saints by less than a TD is a bargain, even on the road. Pick: Saints

Pittsburgh Steelers at Houston Texans (-3.5) - This is one of those games where the trends actually favor the Steelers to cover, but I really like the Texans. The Steelers are coming off a so-so performance on the road last week and now they're on the road again against a much better team. Pick: Texans

New York Giants at Arizona Cardinals (+1) - Essentially a pick here and the trends don't really tell us much. Although the Giants could be in for a bit of a letdown after their big win last week and combined with a cross country trip this is a tough spot. Larry Fitzgerald could also be in for a big day against a suspect Giants secondary. Pick: Cardinals

Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahawks (+4.5) -This is a tough game. It's hard to trust the Falcons at this point, but Seattle is kind of a mess. That said, the Falcons have a lot working against them. A dome team going on the road to a very tough place to play, plus they're on the back end of back to back road games. Pick: Seahawks

Denver Broncos at Green Bay Packers (-12.5) - Big number here and surprisingly, the historically similar matchups heavily favor the Broncos to cover. In fact, teams like the Broncos have covered in over 70% similar games in the last 10 years. Pick: Broncos

New England Patriots at Oakland Raiders (+4) - This will be the second of back to back road games for the Patriots and the Raiders are better than people are giving them credit for. This isn't a high confidence pick, but I see them covering at home here. Pick: Raiders

Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers (-7) - Trends favor Miami to cover here, but I actually like the Chargers. They just seem ready to really break out while Miami seems poised to fall apart. Heading across the country seems like just the time to do it. Pick: Chargers

New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) - The trends really favor the Jets here. They've covered in better than 58% of historically similar games. This really feels like one of those close field goal games, which means the Jets cover. Pick: Jets

Indianapolis Colts at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-10) - I really hate everything about this game. I don't really trust the Bucs to blow someone out, but then again Indy seems to have gotten worse after losing both Gary Bracket and Melvin Bullitt for the year. Plus it appears as though Curtis Painter will be starting for Kerry Collins. Pick: Colts

From the Wolf: Now for my Lock of the Week - I take my boys the Stillers on the road for second week to cover the points against Houston -3.5. Enough said. Lock of the week record 2-1 and I won more than four games.
It hurts to say but the Steelers fucken suck this season. Harrison is out for several weeks with an orbital fracture around his right eye.
Not that that matters really. They have sucked enormously with all their regular starters during the first few weeks. Even with the starting O-line Big Ben will be trampled the entire season long.
Superbowl hangover much again?

In contrast, the Packers are taking care of business in a beautiful way. Though I don't see them winning the Superbowl again this year.
Insert typical super smart ass comment courtesy of thepainter here.
Tell me about it. I am rooting for Detroit this year. Looking like a fun bunch. Love my Steelers, but everyone has an off season.
Well, well a quarter of the season is done and what a season it has been. I have to make this quick because time for me is short, but I do plan on being here more often than not.

The awards for week 4 go to ... well butter my butt and make me some bisquits a golden piggy is yours truly I came away winning with 97 points confidence. Now for games won SouthernJim gets the golden piggy with 11 wins I do believe this is a first for the season, that a player has won double-digit games.

Well congrats to the week 4 golden piggy award winners ...



Now to the world famous flusher award. This week and what a surprise we only have one winner here. In both the confident points and with the point spread. Without further ado the dual flusher goes to eviotis with 53 points and 7 wins ...



Here are the top 5 confidence points for week 4
1. Lone Wolf 97
2. tomlando 93
3. CountryGirl 92
4. SouthernJim 89
5. Hollywood3 88

Top 5 point spread for week 4
1. SouthernJim 11
2. Lone Wolf 10
2. tomlando 10
2. Hollywood3 10
5. 3 tied with 09

Top 5 confidence points for season
1. MexicanGoddess 261
2. Red Dragon 248
3. SouthernJim 246
4. LadyX 243
5. Lone Wolf 226

Top 5 Point spread record season
1. MexicanGoddess 31
2. SouthernJim 30
3. Lone Wolf 27
3. CountryGirl 27
5. 3 tied with 26
Quote by Lone_Wolf
Quote by Hollywood3
Looks like someone owes me some WINE!!!!!!


2 bottles of Illinois' finest will be on the way ... just let me know what, I'm guessing Seasonal

BTW don't forget the massage let me know ya favorite oils


yeah yeah yeah I will believe it when I am sittin back enjoyin a glass!!!
Is it just me, or do the picks this week 5 seem tougher . With less games (13) and not too many of what I would consider easy picks, I am declaring this a low confidence week for myself. Good luck, everyone.
RAIDERS! JUST WIN, BABY!

So proud of my team today. Maybe now that he croaked, the curse of Al Davis will be lifted!

Also it was brought to my attention today that our head coach looks like Barry Bonds. That makes it even more fun.
Quote by LadyX
RAIDERS! JUST WIN, BABY!

So proud of my team today. Maybe now that he croaked, the curse of Al Davis will be lifted!

Also it was brought to my attention today that our head coach looks like Barry Bonds. That makes it even more fun.


Is it bad that we actually breathed a sigh of relief when we heard the news? it's going to be strange, though, without him. Did you know that he was the first NFL owner to hire a latino couch as well as a black coach? no matter what, the man was an institution unto himself. smile

You can’t truly call yourself peaceful unless you are capable of violence. If you’re not capable of violence, you’re not peaceful. You’re harmless.

Quote by sprite
Quote by LadyX
RAIDERS! JUST WIN, BABY!

So proud of my team today. Maybe now that he croaked, the curse of Al Davis will be lifted!

Also it was brought to my attention today that our head coach looks like Barry Bonds. That makes it even more fun.


Is it bad that we actually breathed a sigh of relief when we heard the news? it's going to be strange, though, without him. Did you know that he was the first NFL owner to hire a latino couch as well as a black coach? no matter what, the man was an institution unto himself. smile



I was personally more affected by the death of Al Davis than I was by Steve Job's. I never liked Al Davis, thought he was a joke, as a talent evaluator. The fact is, he was simply way past his time, let alone his prime. But no matter what, he was a big piece of the NFL.

And, by the way... GO NINERS!
49er's scored the most points with 48
Bucs scored 3 for the lowest

I bet no one got those right.
Quote by tomlando
49's scored the most points with 48
Bucs scored 3 for the lowest

I bet no one got those right.


HELL!!!! I was shocked that my Stillers kept Big Ben upright. Then scored 35, if that happens again this year??? I might just shit a rainbow of colors, like skittles

Be back later with the golden piggy and the most popular flusher.
Week 5

What a week of football The first of bye weeks so only had 13 games and in eight of those games the winning teams scored 30+ points. San Francisco almost put up a half-century on Tampa. My Stillers did the 30+ on Tennessee. Now for the rest of the season. I can't see my Stillers doing that again, but maybe once and that will be against the Cincinnati Bungles.wWZcqtP1EO2k3SlO

There are a couple of Eagle fans here and all I can ask is ... WTF??? Dream Team????

I also want to give my condolences to Raider Nation. Al Davis was an innovator and yes he will be missed.

Ok folks now to our lil pick'em awards for week 5 are next ... The golden piggy goes to the "Black Widow of Lush Pick 'em" LadyX and she shares that award with the newcomer MexicanGoddess, both ladies came ahead of the pack with 8 wins. Now for the confident points LadyX came away the winner with 62 points.



I won't go deep with the flusher, because I just don't want to get s'mored by a dragon, so here is this weeks flusher award winner with 4 wins and 34 points ... Red Dragon ...



Week 5 Top 5 Records
1. LadyX 8
1. MexicanGoddess 8
2. Country Girl 7
2. tomlando 7
2. Hollywood3 7

Week 5 Top 5 Confidence Points
1. LadyX 62
2. Country Girl 58
3. tomlando 57
4. MexicanGoddess 55
5. Hollywood3 52

Season Top 5 Records
1. MexicanGoddess 39
2. SouthernJim 36
3. Country Girl 35
4. LadyX 34
4. Lone Wolf 34

Season Top 5 Confidence Points
1. MexicanGoddess 316
2. LadyX 305
3. SouthernJim 296
4. Lone Wolf 293
5. Red Dragon 282

BTW my "Locks of the Week" record stands now at 3-2. I took Seattle this past week to cover +10 at NY Giants.
Damn, I'm getting the hang of it (:
Quote by CountryGirl22
Damn, I'm getting the hang of it (:


Freckles

You are doing very well and you haven't given up and over all you are in the upper half of the league on the confidence points.

Now if you are a good girl You just might get a season ending trophy

Love Ya
The same GQP demanding we move on from January 6th, 2021 is still doing audits of the November 3rd, 2020 election.
Hey Jon, when ya going to post week Six?
Quote by CountryGirl22
Hey Jon, when ya going to post week Six?


I apologize my friends. This hasn't been a good week for me this week.

I will be awarding the piggy and flusher and giving the leaders list for this past week six ...

For confidence points the golden piggy goes to Lone Wolf (62) ...
For best record of the week the golden piggy is shared by Lone Wolf, Hollywood3 and Red Dragon (8) ...


For confidence points the fabulous flusher goes to standingbear (25) ...
Fow worse record of the week the fabulous flusher is shared by standingbear and MexicanGoddess (5) ...


Top 5 in confidence points week six
1. Lone Wolf 62
2. MexicanGoddess 51
3. Hollywood3 49
3. Country Girl22 49
5. SouthernJim 47

Top 5 Wins
1. Lone Wolf 8
1. Hollywood3 8
1. Red Dragon 8
4. Country Girl 22 7
5. 3 Tied with 6
Mo/Fker ...I sure sucked this week. Anyone have a noose I can use?