Being that Target closing 9 of their stores (citing retail theft & organized retail crime) was the catalyst for this thread, I think it's important to note that these headlines have been all over the place, but with no data. Journalist/lawyer Judd Leggum did some digging and found the following:
1. Target is closing the store at 517 East 117th Street in Harlem. But according to NYPD data, there were fewer incidents of shoplifting this year at the Harlem store than other nearby stores that will remain open.
2. Target is also closing its location on Folsom Street in San Francisco. But according to SFDP data, there were fewer incidents of shoplifting in and around that store than other nearby stores that will remain open.
3. The Seattle Times did a similar analysis of stores in the Seattle area and found there were fewer police incidents in and around the two stores being closed than other nearby stores that will remain open.
4. All of this data suggests there were other reasons beyond shoplifting driving Target's decision to close stores. In June, Target's CEO said it was saddled with lots of unwanted merchandise that it was forced to deeply discount, cutting profits.
Target and large retailers like it put out similar press waves when they're closing stores, but rarely (read: never) have the crime data to substantiate these claims.